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Arkansas vs. Missouri

In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 3:30PM ET: If the Arkansas win, the market will resolve to “Arkansas”. If the Missouri win, the market will resolve to “Missouri”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.

Event Details

Total Volume: $28
24h Volume: $27
Total Liquidity: $13.5K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/30/2024

Event Analysis

Summary

The Arkansas vs Missouri football game represents a key SEC matchup scheduled for November 30, 2024. Missouri has shown strong performance in the 2023 season, including a notable 48-14 victory over Arkansas and an impressive 10-2 record heading into their Cotton Bowl appearance against Ohio State. Their offense has been particularly effective, ranking fourth in the SEC in total offense and featuring standout performances from quarterback Brady Cook and receiver Luther Burden III. The historical context and current team trajectories suggest this will be a competitive matchup, with Missouri potentially holding an edge based on their recent strong performance and program momentum. However, with nearly a year until the game, many factors could shift team dynamics, including player transfers, coaching changes, and early season performance in 2024.

Analysis

Team Analysis

Missouri Tigers

  • Strong 2023 performance (10-2 record)
  • Key offensive weapons:
    • QB Brady Cook (ranked 2nd in SEC passing yards)
    • WR Luther Burden III (905 receiving yards)
    • RB Cody Schrader (SEC leading rusher)
  • Demonstrated ability to win convincingly against Arkansas (48-14 in 2023)
  • Coach Eli Drinkwitz has shown program-building success

Arkansas Razorbacks

  • Limited recent information in search results
  • Will need to show improvement from 2023 performance
  • Program stability and offseason developments will be crucial factors

Key Factors to Watch

  1. Offseason Developments
  • Transfer portal activity
  • Coaching staff retention/changes
  • Spring practice performance
  • Recruiting class impact
  1. Early 2024 Performance
  • First 2-3 months of season will be crucial indicators
  • Conference game results
  • Player health/injuries
  • Team momentum entering November
  1. External Factors
  • Weather conditions for game day
  • Home field advantage
  • Conference standing implications

Recent Historical Context

  • Missouri's dominant 2023 victory (48-14)
  • Strong offensive output from Missouri in 2023
  • Program trajectory under current coaching staffs

Prediction

Based on currently available information, Missouri appears to have a moderate advantage in this matchup, with approximately a 60% probability of victory. However, this prediction comes with significant uncertainty given the long time horizon. The game has a 40% chance of an Arkansas victory, while the possibility of a tie or incomplete game resulting in a 50-50 resolution is minimal but present.

Arkansas vs Missouri Winner

Missouri:60.0%
Arkansas:40.0%
Confidence: 6/10
Reasoning Score: 7/10

Market Options

Arkansas vs. Missouri

Yes
42.0%
No
58.0%
Liquidity: $13.5K
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