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Arizona State vs. Arizona
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 12:00AM ET: If the Arizona State win, the market will resolve to “Arizona State”. If the Arizona win, the market will resolve to “Arizona”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Event Details
Total Volume: $203
24h Volume: $0
Total Liquidity: $12.7K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/30/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
The upcoming rivalry game between Arizona State and Arizona (known as the Territorial Cup) represents a critical matchup between two programs heading in different directions in 2023. Arizona (6-3, 4-2 Pac-12) has shown significant improvement under coach Jedd Fisch, with impressive wins including victories over ranked opponents. Meanwhile, Arizona State (3-9) is in a rebuilding year under new head coach Kenny Dillingham.
The matchup features Arizona's high-powered offense led by QB Noah Fifita against an Arizona State team that has struggled but maintains strong motivation for this rivalry game. The game being played at Sun Devil Stadium provides ASU with home field advantage, though Arizona enters as the clear favorite based on season performance.
Analysis
Current Team Status
Arizona Wildcats
- 6-3 record (4-2 in Pac-12)
- Led by redshirt freshman QB Noah Fifita
- Averaging 32.6 points per game with Fifita as starter
- Strong receiving corps with Jacob Cowing and Tetairoa McMillan
- Improved defense allowing just 19.8 points per game
- Already bowl eligible
Arizona State Sun Devils
- First year under coach Kenny Dillingham
- Struggling with 3-9 record
- Home field advantage with game at Sun Devil Stadium
- Young team focused on building foundation
- Motivated by rivalry significance
Key Factors to Watch
Quarterback Play
- Fifita has emerged as a difference-maker for Arizona
- ASU's quarterback situation less settled
- Arizona's passing attack could exploit ASU's defense
Home Field Impact
- Game at Sun Devil Stadium
- Rivalry atmosphere could neutralize some advantages
- ASU traditionally performs better at home
Momentum & Psychology
- Arizona enters with more confidence and better record
- ASU highly motivated by rivalry despite struggles
- Emotional factors could lead to unexpected performance
Recent Performance
- Arizona has proven ability to beat ranked teams
- ASU showing signs of improvement under Dillingham
- Both teams familiar with each other's strengths/weaknesses
Recent Developments
- Arizona coming off strong performances
- ASU focused intently on rivalry preparation
- Injury status of key players could impact game
Prediction
Based on comprehensive analysis, Arizona should be considered the clear favorite with approximately 70% chance of victory. ASU has a 30% chance, boosted by home field and rivalry factors. While an outright tie is extremely unlikely in modern college football, game cancellation remains a minimal possibility.
Arizona State vs Arizona Winner
Arizona:70.0%
Arizona State:30.0%
Confidence: 8/10
Reasoning Score: 9/10