← Back to Events

California vs. SMU
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 3:30PM ET: If the California win, the market will resolve to “California”. If the SMU win, the market will resolve to “SMU”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Event Details
Total Volume: $519
24h Volume: $473
Total Liquidity: $10.9K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/30/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
The upcoming matchup between California and SMU presents an intriguing analysis opportunity. California enters with momentum after winning three consecutive games, including an impressive 33-7 victory over UCLA. The Golden Bears have shown strong offensive capabilities in recent games, though they've had some close contests like their narrow 50-49 loss to USC earlier in the season.
The search results provide extensive context about California's recent performances but limited direct information about SMU. Key factors to consider include California's offensive momentum, their ability to execute in close games, and their demonstrated resilience against strong opponents. The timing of the game on November 30 means recent form will be particularly relevant.
Analysis
Recent Team Performance
California
- Strong recent form with 3 consecutive wins
- Notable 33-7 victory over UCLA showing defensive prowess
- Competitive in close games (e.g., 50-49 loss to USC)
- Offensive highlights:
- Effective scoring capability
- Strong running game featuring Jaydn Ott
- Quarterback Fernando Mendoza showing development
SMU
- Limited direct information available in search results
- Will need to evaluate based on season record and recent games
- Conference standing and bowl implications may affect motivation
Key Factors to Watch
- Momentum
- California's winning streak provides confidence
- Recent big wins suggest peaking at right time
- Offensive Production
- California showing balanced attack
- Special teams performance solid with reliable kicking game
- Game Context
- End of regular season timing
- Potential bowl implications for both teams
- Neutral field considerations
Risk Factors
- Limited head-to-head history between teams
- Uncertainty around injuries/availability
- Weather conditions could impact game plan
- End-of-season fatigue potential factor
Prediction
Without market probabilities provided and limited information about SMU, I cannot make specific probability predictions. However, based on California's recent form and demonstrated ability to compete against strong opponents, they appear to have a slight edge in this matchup. Confidence level is moderate given the information gaps about SMU.
Winner
California:55.0%
SMU:45.0%
Confidence: 6/10
Reasoning Score: 7/10
Sources
- - https://www.espn.com/college-football/recap?gameId=401524041
- - https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/texas-tech-vs-california-odds-line-spread-2023-independence-bowl-picks-predictions-by-proven-expert/
- - https://210prepsports.com/2023/11/23/preview-for-saturdays-jc-football-postseason-games-between-mt-sac-riverside-pcc-at-chaffey-citrus-vs-canyons/