← Back to Events
UConn vs. Massachusetts
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 12:00PM ET: If the UConn win, the market will resolve to “UConn”. If the Massachusetts win, the market will resolve to “Massachusetts”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Event Details
Total Volume: $73
24h Volume: $70
Total Liquidity: $14.2K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/30/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
The upcoming college football game between UConn and Massachusetts on November 30, 2024 represents an interesting matchup between two programs in transition. UMass is preparing to join the Mid-American Conference (MAC) in 2025-26 after years as an independent, while UConn remains one of the few independent programs in college football.
This game comes at a pivotal time for both programs, with UMass showing some signs of improvement under coach Don Brown (achieving 3 wins in 2023, their best since 2018) but still struggling overall with a 4-20 record over two seasons. The timing of the game - at the end of what will be UMass's final season as an independent - adds additional context to the matchup.
Analysis
Program Status and Recent Performance
UMass
- Currently independent but transitioning to MAC in 2025-26
- Showed improvement with 3 wins in 2023 season
- Overall struggling with 4-20 record under Don Brown
- Previous MAC experience (2012-2015) was unsuccessful
- Making strategic moves to improve program stability
UConn
- Remains as one of few independent programs
- Limited recent performance data in search results
- Faces similar scheduling challenges as an independent
- Will be one of only two independents (with Notre Dame) after UMass's departure
Key Factors Affecting the Game
Timing and Momentum
- End of regular season game (November 30)
- UMass's final season as independent
- Potential bowl implications depending on records
- Late-season fatigue and injuries could be factors
Program Development
- UMass showing modest signs of improvement
- Coaching stability under Don Brown
- Conference transition preparations may impact focus
- Both teams' independent status creates unique scheduling dynamics
Historical Context
- UMass's previous MAC performance suggests ongoing competitive challenges
- Limited head-to-head data available in search results
- Both programs working to establish consistent success
Market Considerations
Positive Factors for UMass
- Recent improvement trend
- Potential motivation from final independent season
- Program stability with conference transition ahead
Positive Factors for UConn
- Remaining independent status may provide motivation
- Potential to demonstrate strength against transitioning program
- More focused preparation without pending conference change
Prediction
Based on available data, UConn appears to have a slight edge in this matchup, with a 55% probability of victory compared to 45% for UMass. The prediction has moderate confidence due to limited recent performance data and the transitional status of both programs. Key factors that could shift the outcome include team health, late-season momentum, and the psychological impact of UMass's pending conference move.
UConn vs UMass Winner
UConn:55.0%
UMass:45.0%
Confidence: 6/10
Reasoning Score: 7/10
Sources
- https://www.masslive.com/umassfootball/2024/02/umass-leaving-atlantic-10-to-land-football-program-in-a-conference.html
- https://www.espn.com/college-sports/story/_/id/39605350/sources-umass-set-become-13th-member-mac-25-26-season
- https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/umass-expected-to-return-to-mac-for-all-sports-beginning-in-2025-after-10-year-absence-per-reports/