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Houston vs. BYU
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 12:00AM ET: If the Houston win, the market will resolve to “Houston”. If the BYU win, the market will resolve to “BYU”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Event Details
Total Volume: $157
24h Volume: $144
Total Liquidity: $11.1K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/30/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
The University of Houston Cougars will face BYU in a Big 12 Conference football game on November 30, 2024. This matchup comes during a period of significant transition for Houston, who recently hired Willie Fritz as head coach following a disappointing 4-8 season in 2023. The game represents a critical test for both programs as they establish themselves in the Big 12.
Houston is undergoing a major rebuild under Fritz, who brings an impressive track record of success from Tulane. Meanwhile, BYU has shown mixed results in their early Big 12 tenure but maintains strong home field advantage. The outcome will likely hinge on how well Houston adapts to Fritz's new offensive system and whether they can address their defensive vulnerabilities from 2023.
Analysis
Team Analysis
Houston Cougars
- New Leadership: Willie Fritz takes over as head coach, bringing successful experience from Tulane
- 2023 Performance:
- 4-8 record (1-4 in Big 12)
- Averaged 23.7 points/game (90th in FBS)
- Allowed 31.5 points/game (108th)
- Key Changes:
- Major roster turnover with 17 new signees and 18 transfers
- Implementation of Fritz's balanced offensive scheme
- New defensive coordinator focusing on improved athleticism
BYU Cougars
- Home Field Advantage: Strong historical performance at home
- Big 12 Adaptation: Still adjusting to conference competition level
- Historical Context: Previous success against major opponents
- Fan Support: Known for creating challenging environment for visitors
Key Factors to Watch
- Coaching Impact
- How quickly Fritz's system takes hold
- Staff chemistry and player buy-in
- Game management decisions
- Player Development
- Houston's quarterback battle resolution
- Running back performance in Fritz's scheme
- Defensive improvements from 2023
- External Factors
- Weather conditions in late November
- Travel impact on Houston
- Injuries and roster availability
Recent Developments
- Houston's significant organizational changes under Fritz
- BYU's continued adaptation to Big 12 competition
- Both teams' performance leading up to the matchup
Prediction
Based on the available information, BYU holds a slight advantage in this matchup. While Houston shows promise under Fritz, the combination of BYU's home field advantage and Houston's extensive rebuilding process favors BYU. I predict BYU has a 60% chance of winning, while Houston has a 40% chance. The game completing by December 7, 2024 is highly likely (95% probability).
Who will win the Houston vs BYU football game on November 30, 2024?
BYU:60.0%
Houston:40.0%
Confidence: 7/10
Reasoning Score: 8/10
Sources
- https://www.texasfootball.com/article/2024/02/28/houston-2024-roster-autopsy-cougars-prepare-for-rebuild-under-willie-fritz
- https://uhcougars.com/news/2023/12/3/willie-fritz-named-houston-football-head-coach.aspx
- https://www.houstonchronicle.com/texas-sports-nation/college/article/uh-football-schedule-2024-18637248.php
- https://www.deseret.com/2023/1/31/23580134/byu-football-best-road-trip-games-for-first-big-12-schedule