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Kansas vs. Baylor
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 12:00AM ET: If the Kansas win, the market will resolve to “Kansas”. If the Baylor win, the market will resolve to “Baylor”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Event Details
Total Volume: $541
24h Volume: $134
Total Liquidity: $13.2K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/30/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
The prediction market concerns an upcoming college football game between Kansas and Baylor. Kansas has shown significant improvement under Coach Lance Leipold, achieving consecutive bowl appearances and posting a 9-4 record in 2023. The team has benefited from substantial facility improvements, including a $300 million renovation to their stadium, and has demonstrated increased competitiveness in recent matchups.
Based on recent performance data, Kansas appears to be on an upward trajectory while Baylor has shown some inconsistency. Kansas's home field advantage and improved recruiting success under Leipold suggest they may have an edge, though Baylor's historical strength in the conference cannot be discounted.
Analysis
Team Performance Analysis
Kansas Strengths
- Strong recent performance with 9-4 record in 2023
- Consecutive bowl appearances showing program stability
- $300 million stadium renovation improving home field advantage
- Experienced quarterback Jalen Daniels returning
- Improved recruiting rankings under Coach Leipold
Baylor Considerations
- Recent struggles noted in multiple games
- Lost significantly to TCU (42-17)
- Historical success in conference play
- Shows inconsistent performance patterns
Key Factors to Watch
- Quarterback Health
- Status of Kansas QB Jalen Daniels will be crucial
- Backup Jason Bean has shown capability during relief appearances
- Home Field Advantage
- Kansas showing strong home performance
- Renovated stadium potentially increasing advantage
- Growing fan engagement reported
- Momentum Factors
- Kansas program on upward trajectory
- Baylor showing signs of struggle in recent games
- Conference standing implications
Recent Developments
- Kansas's facility improvements indicating program investment
- Strong recruiting classes suggesting depth improvement
- Baylor's inconsistent performance in recent matchups
- Conference realignment potentially affecting team motivation
Prediction
Based on comprehensive analysis of recent performance, program trajectory, and key factors, Kansas appears to have a 60% probability of victory against Baylor. The combination of home field advantage, program momentum, and Baylor's recent struggles supports this assessment, though Baylor's historical strength and potential for improvement maintain a significant 40% chance of victory for them.
Kansas vs Baylor winner
Kansas:60.0%
Baylor:40.0%
Confidence: 7/10
Reasoning Score: 8/10
Sources
- - https://mikefarrellsports.com/college/did-lance-leipold-and-kansas-go-big-time-in-time-amidst-college-footballs-lawless-chaos
- - https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/kansas-vs-baylor-score-takeaways-no-4-jayhawks-continue-dominance-at-home-over-no-13-bears/
- - https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaaf/2023/11/24/oklahoma-vs-tcu-predictions-picks-odds-tv-streaming/71666050007/