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Liberty vs. Sam Houston State
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 29 at 3:30PM ET: If the Liberty win, the market will resolve to “Liberty”. If the Sam Houston State win, the market will resolve to “Sam Houston State”. If the game is not completed by December 6, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Event Details
Total Volume: $73
24h Volume: $21
Total Liquidity: $13.4K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/29/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
Liberty enters this matchup coming off an impressive 2023 season where they went undefeated (13-0) and won the Conference USA Championship. The Flames demonstrated exceptional offensive capabilities, particularly in their rushing attack, and showed strong defensive performances throughout the season.
The search results provide extensive coverage of Liberty's recent success but limited information about Sam Houston State's current form. This information asymmetry, combined with Liberty's demonstrated excellence in the 2023 season, suggests a strong advantage for Liberty in this matchup, though proper consideration must be given to potential changes in both programs over the intervening year.
Analysis
Team Analysis
Liberty Flames
- Finished 2023 with perfect 13-0 record and Conference USA Championship
- Led nation in rushing yards (295.4 per game)
- Strong offensive output averaging 40.1 points per game
- Solid defense allowing only 21.7 points per game
- Strong leadership under Coach Jamey Chadwell
Sam Houston State
- Limited recent performance data available
- Will face challenging schedule in 2024, including rivalry game with Texas State
- Schedule suggests high level of competition leading up to Liberty game
Key Factors to Watch
Momentum and Development
- Liberty's continued development after stellar 2023 season
- Impact of potential roster changes through transfer portal
- Sam Houston State's adaptation to competitive schedule
Game Context
- Late season timing (November 29) means both teams will have established their 2024 identity
- Home field advantage implications
- Weather conditions in late November
Program Trajectory
- Liberty's rising profile in college football
- Sam Houston State's development in challenging conference environment
Recent Developments
- Liberty's inclusion in "just missed" section of ESPN's Way-Too-Early Top 25
- Strong institutional support for Liberty athletics programs
- Sam Houston State's integration into more competitive scheduling
Prediction
Based on available information, Liberty should be considered a strong favorite in this matchup. Their demonstrated excellence in 2023, combined with strong program momentum and institutional support, suggests approximately a 75% chance of victory. However, the long time horizon until the game and limited information about Sam Houston State's development warrant some caution in this assessment.
Liberty vs Sam Houston State winner
Liberty:75.0%
Sam Houston State:25.0%
Confidence: 6/10
Reasoning Score: 7/10
Sources
- https://www.liberty.edu/news/2023/12/02/history-made-flames-topple-aggies-to-win-first-fbs-conference-championship/
- https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/39512432/updated-2024-way-too-early-college-football-top-25-rankings
- https://txst.com/news/2024/3/1/footballs-full-2024-schedule-announced.aspx