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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 29 at 3:30PM ET: If the Mississippi State win, the market will resolve to “Mississippi State”. If the Ole Miss win, the market will resolve to “Ole Miss”. If the game is not completed by December 6, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Event Details
Total Volume: $2.2K
24h Volume: $1.9K
Total Liquidity: $12.1K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/29/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
The 2024 Egg Bowl matchup between Mississippi State and Ole Miss represents a critical rivalry game with significant implications for both programs. Ole Miss enters 2024 showing strong momentum from their 2023 season, while Mississippi State underwent major changes including a coaching transition with the hiring of Jeff Lebby and defensive coordinator Coleman Hutzler.
The game takes place in the context of a transformed SEC landscape, with Texas and Oklahoma joining the conference in 2024. Both teams face challenging schedules leading up to their rivalry matchup, which could impact their performance and preparation for this traditional Thanksgiving weekend clash.
Analysis
Program Status and Changes
Mississippi State
- New head coach Jeff Lebby and defensive coordinator Coleman Hutzler bring fresh leadership
- Coming off a difficult 2023 season that led to coaching changes
- Defensive emphasis under Hutzler could reshape team identity
- Historical success in recent rivalry matchups (6 of last 10 wins in basketball context)
Ole Miss
- Strong momentum from 2023 season success
- Lane Kiffin's established system showing results
- Demonstrated ability to compete against top teams
- Solid home field advantage historically
Key Factors to Watch
- Schedule Impact
- Both teams face tough SEC schedules leading up to matchup
- Physical toll of expanded SEC schedule could affect player availability
- Performance against common opponents will provide comparison points
- Coaching Dynamics
- How quickly Mississippi State adapts to new coaching system
- Hutzler's defensive schemes vs Kiffin's offensive expertise
- First-year coaching staff's handling of rivalry pressure
- External Factors
- Late November weather conditions
- Rivalry game atmosphere
- Bowl eligibility implications
- New SEC playoff format context
Recent Developments
- Mississippi State's coaching overhaul indicates program reconstruction
- Ole Miss showing program stability and growth
- SEC expansion creating new competitive dynamics
- Both teams investing in program development and recruitment
Prediction
Based on available information, Ole Miss holds a moderate advantage in this matchup, with a 60% probability of victory. Mississippi State has a 40% chance of winning, factoring in rivalry dynamics and potential improvement under new leadership. The relatively balanced probabilities reflect both the historical competitiveness of this rivalry and current program trajectories.
Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Winner
Ole Miss:60.0%
Mississippi State:40.0%
Confidence: 7/10
Reasoning Score: 8/10
Sources
- https://mississippitoday.org/2023/12/14/2024-sec-football-schedule-shocks/
- https://hailstate.com/news/2023/12/8/football-lebby-announces-the-hire-of-hutzler-as-defensive-coordinator
- https://hailstate.com/news/2023/11/13/mississippi-state-announces-change-in-football-leadership
- https://www.clarionledger.com/story/sports/college/ole-miss/2023/11/07/ole-miss-football-georgia-lane-kiffin-kirby-smart-college-football-playoff-sec/71471051007/