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NC State vs. North Carolina
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 3:30PM ET: If the NC State win, the market will resolve to “NC State”. If the North Carolina win, the market will resolve to “North Carolina”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Event Details
Total Volume: $2
24h Volume: $1
Total Liquidity: $8.2K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/30/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
The NC State vs. North Carolina football rivalry game is scheduled for November 30, 2024, at North Carolina's Kenan Stadium. This matchup comes at a time of significant changes for both programs, with NC State showing strong momentum after a successful 2023 season (9-4) and aggressive transfer portal acquisitions, while North Carolina faces challenges including the departure of star quarterback Drake Maye.
The game represents the final regular season matchup for both teams and could have implications for bowl game selections and ACC standings. Historical context from recent meetings, including NC State's dominant victory in their last encounter, combined with program trajectory and roster developments, suggests an intriguing battle between these long-standing rivals.
Analysis
Program Status and Momentum
NC State
- Finished 2023 season strong (9-4)
- Added key transfers including QB Grayson McCall from Coastal Carolina
- Strong returning talent including KC Concepcion
- Successful recruiting class with notable additions
North Carolina
- Lost star QB Drake Maye to NFL Draft
- Showed declining form in late 2023 (lost 4 of last 5 FBS games)
- Home field advantage at Kenan Stadium
- Question marks around quarterback situation
Key Factors to Watch
- Quarterback Play
- NC State: Grayson McCall's adaptation to new system
- UNC: New quarterback development post-Maye
- Program Momentum
- NC State trending upward with strong recruiting and transfers
- UNC facing rebuilding phase after key departures
- Historical Context
- Recent head-to-head favors NC State
- Rivalry dynamics can override form
Recent Developments
- NC State's aggressive transfer portal strategy
- Strong season ticket sales (36,000+) indicating program support
- New ACC scheduling model impact
- Both teams' early-season performance in 2024 will be crucial
Prediction
Based on current information and trends, NC State appears to have a moderate advantage in this matchup. Their program momentum, quarterback situation, and recent head-to-head success suggests approximately a 60% chance of victory, while North Carolina maintains a 40% chance largely due to home field advantage and rivalry game unpredictability.
NC State vs North Carolina Winner
NC State:60.0%
North Carolina:40.0%
Confidence: 7/10
Reasoning Score: 8/10
Sources
- https://www.technicianonline.com/sports/nc-state-football-gains-highly-ranked-talent-for-offense/article_079e5ff8-b4df-11ee-80e4-0b62b82bb3fa.html
- https://gopack.com/news/2024/1/24/acc-reveals-2024-wolfpack-football-schedule
- https://goheels.com/news/2024/1/24/acc-announces-2024-football-schedule
- https://www.technicianonline.com/sports/nc-state-athletics-week-in-review-nov-20---27/article_b4ee9792-8d9b-11ee-aa3f-d3e5d046bd86.html