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Notre Dame vs. USC
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 12:00AM ET: If the Notre Dame win, the market will resolve to “Notre Dame”. If the USC win, the market will resolve to “USC”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Event Details
Total Volume: $1.6K
24h Volume: $363
Total Liquidity: $9.3K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/30/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are set to face the USC Trojans on November 30, 2024, in what promises to be a significant matchup between these historic rivals. Notre Dame has shown impressive form this season, boasting the best point differential in FBS (+301) and demonstrating strong performances in recent games. Meanwhile, USC has faced challenges, including significant roster changes due to opt-outs and transfers, though they've shown resilience in achieving bowl eligibility.
The game's outcome could be significantly influenced by USC's depleted roster and Notre Dame's dominant recent form. Recent articles indicate USC is dealing with multiple player departures through the transfer portal and NFL draft preparations, while Notre Dame appears to be maintaining consistency and strength across their lineup.
Analysis
Team Status and Recent Performance
Notre Dame
- Leading FBS with +301 point differential
- Strong recent performances, including dominant wins
- Demonstrated defensive strength and offensive prowess
- Maintaining roster consistency
- Positive recruiting momentum
USC
- Achieved bowl eligibility (defeated UCLA 19-13)
- Significant roster challenges:
- Multiple player opt-outs
- Transfer portal departures
- Key position depletions (QB, TE, secondary)
- Recent recruitment success (19 new signees) but impact won't be felt until next season
Key Factors to Watch
- Roster Availability
- USC's depleted roster could significantly impact their competitiveness
- quarterback situation particularly concerning for USC
- Notre Dame's consistent lineup provides advantage
- Momentum
- Notre Dame enters with stronger recent performance record
- USC showing inconsistency but fighting spirit
- Weather/External Factors
- Late November game could face weather impacts
- Home field advantage could play significant role
Recent Developments
- USC's significant roster changes through transfers and opt-outs
- Notre Dame's continued strong recruiting efforts
- Both teams active in early signing period
- USC's offensive line remains intact despite other position group losses
Prediction
Based on the available information, Notre Dame appears to have a significant advantage in this matchup. Their consistent performance, roster stability, and impressive point differential, combined with USC's roster challenges, suggest Notre Dame should be heavily favored to win this game. I would estimate Notre Dame's probability of victory at approximately 75%, with USC at 25%.
Notre Dame vs USC Winner
Notre Dame:75.0%
USC:25.0%
Confidence: 8/10
Reasoning Score: 9/10
Sources
- https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5943543/2024/11/24/notre-dame-sec-college-football-playoff-until-saturday/
- https://247sports.com/college/usc/article/usc-football-opt-outs-transfer-portal-holiday-bowl-roster-breakdown-caleb-williams-brenden-rice-marshawn-lloyd-223995791/
- https://notredame.rivals.com/news/notre-dame-football-depth-chart-2024-season-projection
- https://usctrojans.com/news/2023/12/20/usc-football-adds-19-players-in-early-signing-period.aspx