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Nevada vs. UNLV

In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 8:00PM ET: If the Nevada win, the market will resolve to “Nevada”. If the UNLV win, the market will resolve to “UNLV”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.

Event Details

Total Volume: $352
24h Volume: $8
Total Liquidity: $15.8K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 12/1/2024

Event Analysis

Summary

The historic 50th "Battle for the Fremont Cannon" between Nevada and UNLV is set to take place on November 30, 2024, at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. This rivalry game comes at a time of diverging trajectories for these programs - UNLV is experiencing a renaissance under coach Barry Odom, while Nevada is rebuilding under new head coach Jeff Choate after consecutive 2-10 seasons. The matchup presents a clear favorite in UNLV, who demonstrated significant improvement in 2023 with a 9-5 record and Mountain West championship game appearance. Nevada, despite optimism from new coach Choate, faces an uphill battle to overcome recent struggles and establish competitiveness against their in-state rival.

Analysis

Program Trajectories

UNLV

  • Coming off historic 2023 season (9-5 record)
  • Reached Mountain West championship game
  • Strong leadership under coach Barry Odom
  • Home field advantage at Allegiant Stadium
  • Demonstrated offensive capability

Nevada

  • Consecutive 2-10 seasons in 2022-2023
  • New head coach Jeff Choate bringing fresh approach
  • Significant rebuilding required
  • Struggling offense (averaged under 18 points in 2023)
  • Some returning experience on offensive line

Key Factors to Watch

  1. Coaching Impact
  • How quickly can Choate implement improvements?
  • Will Odom maintain UNLV's momentum?
  1. Player Development
  • Nevada's returning offensive line experience
  • UNLV's offensive weapons and depth
  • Transfer portal impact for both teams
  1. Home Field Advantage
  • Game at Allegiant Stadium favors UNLV
  • Rivalry atmosphere could neutralize some advantage
  1. Program Momentum
  • UNLV riding wave of recent success
  • Nevada seeking to prove rebuilding progress

Recent Developments

  • Nevada's coaching change and ambitious goals
  • UNLV's continued program building
  • Both teams' transfer portal activity
  • Conference realignment impacts

Prediction

Based on the available evidence, UNLV should be considered a strong favorite (70%) to win this matchup. Nevada has a 30% chance of pulling the upset. The combination of UNLV's home field advantage, recent success, and Nevada's rebuilding status strongly favors the Rebels.

Nevada vs UNLV Winner

UNLV:70.0%
Nevada:30.0%
Confidence: 7/10
Reasoning Score: 8/10

Sources

Market Options

Nevada vs. UNLV

Yes
12.5%
No
87.5%
Liquidity: $15.8K
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