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Old Dominion vs. Arkansas State

In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 3:00PM ET: If the Old Dominion win, the market will resolve to “Old Dominion”. If the Arkansas State win, the market will resolve to “Arkansas State”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.

Event Details

Total Volume: $7
24h Volume: $1
Total Liquidity: $8.8K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/30/2024

Event Analysis

Summary

Old Dominion and Arkansas State are set to face off in a pivotal college football matchup on November 30, 2024. The search results indicate that Old Dominion has shown resilience in close games during recent seasons, with a record of playing in 11 one-score games in 2023. They return 8 offensive starters but only 3 defensive starters for 2024, creating some uncertainty around their defensive capabilities. The game represents a key matchup between two programs looking to establish momentum in their respective conferences. Old Dominion's recent history of competitive games and their ability to compete in close matchups suggests this could be another tightly contested affair, though defensive questions remain a significant factor to consider.

Analysis

Team Analysis

Old Dominion

  • Returns 8 offensive starters for 2024 season
  • Only 3 defensive starters returning
  • History of playing close games (11 one-score games in 2023)
  • Questions remain about quarterback situation
  • Potential impact of All-American linebacker Jason Henderson's status (knee injury)

Arkansas State

  • Limited recent performance data available in search results
  • Will need to evaluate their offensive capabilities against ODU's rebuilding defense
  • Home field advantage could be a factor depending on venue

Key Factors to Watch

  1. Defensive Performance
  • ODU's defensive rebuild with only 3 returning starters
  • Impact of Jason Henderson's availability
  • Arkansas State's ability to exploit defensive inexperience
  1. Quarterback Play
  • ODU's quarterback situation remains uncertain
  • Historical streak of different starting QBs could affect stability
  1. Game Management
  • ODU's experience in close games could be crucial
  • Coach Ricky Rahne's emphasis on "going 1-0" mentality
  1. Momentum Factors
  • Early season performance leading up to this game
  • Impact of previous games on team confidence

Recent Developments

  • ODU's retention of offensive coordinator Kevin Decker suggests offensive continuity
  • Defensive rebuilding process ongoing
  • Spring practice observations indicate focus on finishing games

Prediction

Based on available information, this projects to be a closely contested game with a slight edge to Old Dominion due to their experience in tight games and offensive continuity. However, defensive uncertainties create significant variability in potential outcomes. Confidence in this prediction is moderate (6/10) due to limited information about Arkansas State and the early-season timing of the matchup.

Old Dominion vs Arkansas State Winner

Old Dominion:55.0%
Arkansas State:45.0%
Confidence: 6/10
Reasoning Score: 7/10

Market Options

Old Dominion vs. Arkansas State

Yes
64.5%
No
35.5%
Liquidity: $8.8K
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