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Oregon State vs. Boise State
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 29 at 12:00PM ET: If the Oregon State win, the market will resolve to “Oregon State”. If the Boise State win, the market will resolve to “Boise State”. If the game is not completed by December 6, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Event Details
Total Volume: $1.8K
24h Volume: $1.4K
Total Liquidity: $19.0K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/29/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
The prediction market appears to concern a football game between Oregon State and Boise State scheduled for November 29, 2024. Recent developments show Oregon State coming off a decisive 31-7 loss to Oregon, where their running game was notably shut down. Meanwhile, Boise State has made coaching changes, including hiring Tyler Stockton as co-defensive coordinator and safeties coach for the 2024 season.
The search results indicate Oregon State has faced some challenges, including financial pressures from the Pac-12 dissolution and a struggling offense in recent games. However, they maintain strong home game attendance and have shown defensive capabilities earlier in the season.
Analysis
Current Team Status
Oregon State
- Coming off a significant 31-7 loss to Oregon
- Running back Damien Martinez held to season-low 38 yards
- Facing financial challenges from Pac-12 dissolution
- Projecting $91.6M athletics budget for 2024-25 (8.8% decrease)
Boise State
- Made strategic coaching hire with Tyler Stockton
- Stockton brings strong defensive credentials from Ball State
- Under new head coach Spencer Danielson
- Showing organizational commitment to improvement
Key Factors to Watch
Team Performance Indicators
- Oregon State's rushing defense capability
- Boise State's defensive adaptation under new coaching
- Home field advantage dynamics
- Team morale following Oregon State's recent loss
External Factors
- Weather conditions for November game
- Potential injuries leading up to game
- Fan support and attendance
- Financial impact on team resources
Recent Developments
- Oregon State's defensive struggles against Oregon
- Boise State's coaching staff enhancement
- Oregon State's budget adjustments
- Continued rivalry series with Oregon impacting schedule
Prediction
Given the available information and without specific market probabilities to analyze, I would estimate a slight advantage to Boise State based on momentum factors and coaching improvements. Oregon State's recent struggles and financial challenges create some uncertainty, while Boise State's strategic coaching hire suggests positive organizational direction. However, confidence is moderate given the long time horizon to the game date.
Who will win the Oregon State vs Boise State football game?
Boise State:55.0%
Oregon State:45.0%
Confidence: 6/10
Reasoning Score: 7/10
Sources
- https://www.oregonlive.com/ducks/2023/11/oregon-football-holds-damien-martinez-to-season-low-oregon-state-has-fewest-rushing-yards-since-2019.html
- https://broncosports.com/news/2023/12/21/boise-state-adds-tyler-stockton-to-football-coaching-staff
- https://www.oregonlive.com/beavers/2024/06/will-oregon-state-continue-spending-like-a-power-5-school-here-are-the-numbers-for-the-beavers-2024-25-budget.html