← Back to Events
Purdue vs. Indiana
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 12:00AM ET: If the Purdue win, the market will resolve to “Purdue”. If the Indiana win, the market will resolve to “Indiana”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Event Details
Total Volume: $950
24h Volume: $478
Total Liquidity: $14.9K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/30/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
The annual rivalry game between Purdue and Indiana (known as the Old Oaken Bucket game) represents a critical matchup between these Big Ten programs. Recent history shows Purdue holding an advantage, winning 5 of the last 6 meetings including a 35-31 victory in 2023. Indiana enters this game in a state of transition following the November 2023 firing of head coach Tom Allen, while Purdue looks to build on positive momentum under coach Ryan Walters.
The competitive dynamics are heavily influenced by Indiana's recent struggles (3-9 record in 2023) and coaching instability, contrasted with Purdue's demonstrated ability to execute in crucial moments despite an up-and-down season. Both programs face pressure to perform in this rivalry game, though Indiana's rebuilding phase under new leadership adds significant uncertainty to their outlook.
Analysis
Historical Context
- Purdue has dominated recent meetings, winning 5 of last 6 matchups
- 2023 game ended 35-31 in Purdue's favor, showcasing their ability to execute late
- Traditional rivalry importance adds motivation for both teams
Team Analysis
Purdue
- Strengths:
- Proven ability to run the ball effectively
- Hudson Card provides stability at QB when healthy
- Coach Ryan Walters showing strategic growth
- Concerns:
- Inconsistent offensive production
- Defense has struggled in red zone
Indiana
- Challenges:
- Program instability following Tom Allen's firing
- Poor recent record (3-24 in Big Ten over last 3 seasons)
- Struggles closing out games
- Opportunities:
- Fresh start under new leadership
- Young QB talent with potential
- Motivation to prove themselves
Key Factors to Watch
-
Coaching Impact
- Indiana's new coaching staff adaptation
- Purdue's strategic improvements under Walters
-
Player Personnel
- Hudson Card's health status
- Indiana's QB development
- Key injuries on both sides
-
Program Momentum
- Purdue's broader athletic success
- Indiana's response to coaching change
- Team morale and preparation
Recent Developments
- Indiana's coaching transition
- Purdue's demonstrated improvement in running game
- Both programs' recruiting and transfer portal activity
Prediction
Based on comprehensive analysis, Purdue should be favored to win this matchup. Key factors include their recent head-to-head success, program stability, and Indiana's transitional status. While rivalry games can be unpredictable, Purdue holds meaningful advantages in coaching continuity and proven execution. Confidence Level: 7/10.
Purdue Win: 65% probability
Indiana Win: 35% probability
Purdue vs Indiana Winner
Purdue:65.0%
Indiana:35.0%
Confidence: 7/10
Reasoning Score: 8/10
Sources
- https://www.indystar.com/story/sports/columnists/gregg-doyel/2023/11/25/purdue-football-old-oaken-bucket-win-perhaps-seals-indiana-coach-tom-allen-fate/71666246007/
- https://www.idsnews.com/article/2023/11/indiana-football-head-coach-tom-allen-fired-coaching-search
- https://www.pennlive.com/pennstatefootball/2023/11/big-ten-power-poll-why-i-picked-dog-third-straight-year-to-win-the-game-but-different-team-this-time-jones.html