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Rutgers vs. Michigan State
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 12:00AM ET: If the Rutgers win, the market will resolve to “Rutgers”. If the Michigan State win, the market will resolve to “Michigan State”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Event Details
Total Volume: $37
24h Volume: $11
Total Liquidity: $6.8K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/30/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
The upcoming football game between Rutgers and Michigan State represents a key late-season matchup between two Big Ten programs heading in different directions. Rutgers comes into the game with momentum following their first bowl victory in nine years and improved defensive performance, while Michigan State has struggled significantly, including a historically poor offensive showing in their last game against Penn State where they recorded just 53 total yards.
Recent performance trends and team dynamics heavily favor Rutgers in this matchup. Michigan State has shown serious offensive deficiencies, quarterback issues, and declining morale following several decisive losses. Meanwhile, Rutgers has demonstrated defensive strength (ranked #16 nationally) and growing offensive capabilities under an improving program.
Analysis
Recent Team Performance
Rutgers
- Won their first bowl game in 9 years (Pinstripe Bowl victory over Miami)
- Ranked #16 nationally in total defense
- Most improved team in Big Ten for total offense
- Led nation in blocked punts
- Growing momentum and fan engagement
Michigan State
- Historically poor offensive showing vs Penn State (53 total yards)
- Significant QB struggles and uncertainty
- Defense allowing high yardage (583 yards vs Penn State)
- Low team morale after multiple decisive losses
- Multiple injuries affecting depth
Key Factors to Watch
Offensive Production
- Michigan State averaging only 253.75 yards per game with QB Katin Houser
- Rutgers showing offensive improvement though still inconsistent
- MSU's running game particularly weak (81 yards per game average)
Defensive Matchup
- Rutgers defense performing at elite level
- MSU defense showing vulnerability, especially against the run
- Special teams advantage appears to favor Rutgers
External Factors
- Home field advantage for Rutgers at SHI Stadium
- Late season timing could amplify fatigue/injury issues
- Weather conditions could impact offensive production
Recent Developments
- Michigan State coming off historically poor offensive performance
- Rutgers building momentum from bowl victory
- Both teams dealing with various injuries
- Coaching stability favors Rutgers
Prediction
Based on comprehensive analysis, Rutgers should be heavily favored to win this matchup. Michigan State's significant offensive struggles and declining team morale, combined with Rutgers' defensive strength and program momentum, suggest approximately a 70% probability of a Rutgers victory. The risk of a tie or incomplete game (resulting in 50-50 resolution) is assessed at 5%, leaving roughly 25% probability for a Michigan State win.
Who will win the Rutgers vs Michigan State football game on November 30, 2024?
Rutgers:70.0%
Michigan State:25.0%
Tie/Incomplete:5.0%
Confidence: 7/10
Reasoning Score: 8/10
Sources
- https://www.nj.com/rutgersfootball/2023/12/kyle-monangai-powers-rutgers-bowl-win-and-gives-hope-for-even-more-in-2024-politis-5-observations.html
- https://www.freep.com/story/sports/college/michigan-state/spartans/2023/11/25/michigan-state-football-grades-penn-state-offense-coaching-fails-season-finale/71700157007/
- https://scarletknights.com/news/2024/2/13/2024-football-season-tickets-on-sale.aspx