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South Carolina vs. Clemson
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 12:00PM ET: If the South Carolina win, the market will resolve to “South Carolina”. If the Clemson win, the market will resolve to “Clemson”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Event Details
Total Volume: $872
24h Volume: $507
Total Liquidity: $13.9K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/30/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
The South Carolina vs. Clemson rivalry game on November 30, 2024 represents one of college football's longest-standing interstate rivalries. Recent results, including South Carolina's 31-30 upset victory in 2022, suggest this matchup remains highly competitive despite historical periods of dominance by either team.
The 2024 matchup comes during a period of transition in college football, with Clemson showing some vulnerability after dropping from their previous dynasty status. While Clemson is ranked #19 in early 2024 predictions, both teams face uncertainty around quarterback play and roster development through transfers, making this a particularly challenging game to forecast.
Analysis
Team Analysis
Clemson Tigers
- Ranked #19 in early 2024 predictions
- Key Questions:
- QB Cade Klubnik's development in Garrett Riley's system
- Defense remains strong but offense shows inconsistency
- Coming off a period of relative decline from previous dominance
- Won 5 straight to close 2023 season showing potential resurgence
South Carolina Gamecocks
- Not ranked in early 2024 predictions
- Strengths:
- Recent success against Clemson (2022 upset)
- SEC competition level provides strong preparation
- Coach Shane Beamer showing ability to prepare for big games
- Concerns:
- Roster turnover through transfer portal
- Historical underdog status in rivalry
Key Factors to Watch
- Quarterback Play
- Klubnik's development at Clemson
- South Carolina's QB situation
- Both teams' passing game effectiveness
- Transfer Portal Impact
- Both teams actively using portal
- Roster stability leading into game
- Integration of new players
- Momentum
- Late season positioning
- Prior games' impact on team confidence
- Injury situations
- Historical Context
- Rivalry dynamics
- Home field advantage
- Recent upset potential
Risk Factors
- Weather Conditions
- Late November game could face weather issues
- Potential for delays or postponement
- External Factors
- Conference standing implications
- Bowl eligibility impact
- Coaching stability
Prediction
Based on current information, Clemson holds a slight edge given their higher preseason ranking and program stability. However, South Carolina's recent success in the rivalry and the game's timing late in the season make this a close call. Predicting Clemson to win with 55% probability, South Carolina 45% probability, with medium confidence given the long time horizon to game day.
Who will win the South Carolina vs Clemson football game on November 30, 2024?
Clemson:55.0%
South Carolina:45.0%
Confidence: 6/10
Reasoning Score: 7/10
Sources
- https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/39512432/updated-2024-way-too-early-college-football-top-25-rankings
- https://www.thestate.com/sports/college/university-of-south-carolina/usc-football/article269251612.html
- https://www.si.com/college/2024/01/09/college-football-2024-top-25-georgia-oregon-texas-alabama