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Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 12:00PM ET: If the Tennessee win, the market will resolve to “Tennessee”. If the Vanderbilt win, the market will resolve to “Vanderbilt”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.
Event Details
Total Volume: $279
24h Volume: $76
Total Liquidity: $14.8K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/30/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
The upcoming college football game between Tennessee and Vanderbilt on November 30, 2024, represents a continuation of a long-standing rivalry between these two Tennessee schools. Recent history strongly favors Tennessee, who has won five consecutive matchups against Vanderbilt, including a decisive 48-24 victory in their most recent meeting in 2023.
The context presents a clear mismatch between the programs, with Tennessee finishing 8-4 in 2023 under coach Josh Heupel's leadership, while Vanderbilt struggled with a 2-10 record (0-8 in SEC play). The historical dominance, recent performance trends, and program trajectory all suggest Tennessee enters this matchup as a heavy favorite.
Analysis
Program Analysis
Tennessee's Position
- Strong program momentum under Josh Heupel
- Finished 2023 with 8-4 record
- Ranked #21 in final 2023 CFP rankings
- Demonstrated offensive capabilities with multiple scoring options
- Consistent success against Vanderbilt in recent years
Vanderbilt's Challenges
- Poor 2023 performance (2-10 record)
- Winless in SEC play during 2023
- Struggling to establish competitive footing
- Notable returning players include CJ Taylor and Junior Sherrill
- Need significant improvement to challenge Tennessee
Key Factors to Watch
Pre-Game Variables
- Player health and availability
- Early season performance in 2024
- Coaching staff stability
- Weather conditions
- Home field advantage
Game Impact Elements
- Rivalry emotions/intensity
- Recent history of chippy play and penalties
- Team discipline (Tennessee had 10 penalties in last matchup)
- Quarterback performance
- Special teams execution
Recent Developments
- Tennessee's continued program building under Heupel
- Vanderbilt's attempts to rebuild under Clark Lea
- Both teams' early 2024 schedule performance
- Player development through spring/summer
Prediction
Based on comprehensive analysis, Tennessee is heavily favored to win this matchup. The combination of recent history, program trajectory, and talent differential suggests approximately an 85% probability of a Tennessee victory. Vanderbilt has a 15% chance of pulling off an upset, primarily contingent on significant improvement through 2024 and potential Tennessee mistakes or injuries.
Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Winner
Tennessee:85.0%
Vanderbilt:15.0%
Confidence: 8/10
Reasoning Score: 9/10
Sources
- https://www.knoxnews.com/story/sports/college/university-of-tennessee/football/2023/11/25/tennessee-vanderbilt-score-updates-highlights-college-football-week-13/71599214007/
- https://www.knoxnews.com/story/sports/college/university-of-tennessee/football/2023/11/25/tennessee-football-grades-vanderbilt-joe-milton/71572043007/
- https://volswire.usatoday.com/lists/game-dates-finalized-for-2024-tennessee-volunteers-football-schedule/
- https://www.tennessean.com/story/sports/college/vanderbilt/2024/05/30/vanderbilt-football-2024-schedule-kickoff-times-released-first-three-games/73899676007/