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Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt

In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 30 at 12:00PM ET: If the Tennessee win, the market will resolve to “Tennessee”. If the Vanderbilt win, the market will resolve to “Vanderbilt”. If the game is not completed by December 7, 2024 (11:59 PM ET) or it ends in a tie, the market will resolve 50-50.

Event Details

Total Volume: $279
24h Volume: $76
Total Liquidity: $14.8K
Markets: 1
Event Ends: 11/30/2024

Event Analysis

Summary

The upcoming college football game between Tennessee and Vanderbilt on November 30, 2024, represents a continuation of a long-standing rivalry between these two Tennessee schools. Recent history strongly favors Tennessee, who has won five consecutive matchups against Vanderbilt, including a decisive 48-24 victory in their most recent meeting in 2023. The context presents a clear mismatch between the programs, with Tennessee finishing 8-4 in 2023 under coach Josh Heupel's leadership, while Vanderbilt struggled with a 2-10 record (0-8 in SEC play). The historical dominance, recent performance trends, and program trajectory all suggest Tennessee enters this matchup as a heavy favorite.

Analysis

Program Analysis

Tennessee's Position

  • Strong program momentum under Josh Heupel
  • Finished 2023 with 8-4 record
  • Ranked #21 in final 2023 CFP rankings
  • Demonstrated offensive capabilities with multiple scoring options
  • Consistent success against Vanderbilt in recent years

Vanderbilt's Challenges

  • Poor 2023 performance (2-10 record)
  • Winless in SEC play during 2023
  • Struggling to establish competitive footing
  • Notable returning players include CJ Taylor and Junior Sherrill
  • Need significant improvement to challenge Tennessee

Key Factors to Watch

Pre-Game Variables

  • Player health and availability
  • Early season performance in 2024
  • Coaching staff stability
  • Weather conditions
  • Home field advantage

Game Impact Elements

  • Rivalry emotions/intensity
  • Recent history of chippy play and penalties
  • Team discipline (Tennessee had 10 penalties in last matchup)
  • Quarterback performance
  • Special teams execution

Recent Developments

  • Tennessee's continued program building under Heupel
  • Vanderbilt's attempts to rebuild under Clark Lea
  • Both teams' early 2024 schedule performance
  • Player development through spring/summer

Prediction

Based on comprehensive analysis, Tennessee is heavily favored to win this matchup. The combination of recent history, program trajectory, and talent differential suggests approximately an 85% probability of a Tennessee victory. Vanderbilt has a 15% chance of pulling off an upset, primarily contingent on significant improvement through 2024 and potential Tennessee mistakes or injuries.

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Winner

Tennessee:85.0%
Vanderbilt:15.0%
Confidence: 8/10
Reasoning Score: 9/10

Market Options

Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt

Yes
78.0%
No
22.0%
Liquidity: $14.8K
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