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Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle
This event is for the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for November 30 at 10:00AM ET between Crystal Palace and Newcastle.
Event Details
Total Volume: $4.8K
24h Volume: $2.6K
Total Liquidity: $51.2K
Markets: 3
Event Ends: 11/30/2024
Event Analysis
Summary
Crystal Palace faces Newcastle United in a Premier League match that carries significant implications for both teams. Palace has been struggling with poor form, managerial pressure on Roy Hodgson, and key player injuries to Eberechi Eze and Michael Olise. Recent heavy defeats, including a 5-0 loss to Arsenal, have left the team hovering precariously above the relegation zone.
Newcastle, while not explicitly detailed in recent coverage, enters this match as the stronger side based on their higher league position and better overall form from the previous season where they finished 4th. The contrast in team trajectories, Palace's defensive vulnerabilities, and Newcastle's attacking capabilities suggest this could be a challenging match for the home side.
Analysis
Team Analysis
Crystal Palace Current State
- Poor recent form with only one win in last 12 matches
- Significant injuries to key attacking players (Eze, Olise)
- Manager Roy Hodgson under intense pressure
- Defensive struggles highlighted by no clean sheets in 22 league games
- Currently sitting just above relegation zone
Newcastle United Position
- Stronger overall squad depth
- Better league position from previous season (4th in 22/23)
- More consistent attacking threat
- Better defensive organization
- Higher confidence levels based on recent performances
Key Factors to Watch
Injuries and Availability
- Status of Eze and Olise for Palace
- Newcastle's squad rotation and fitness levels
- Any last-minute injury developments
Tactical Considerations
- Palace's defensive vulnerability against counter-attacks
- Newcastle's ability to exploit wide areas
- Set-piece effectiveness for both teams
Recent Developments
- Palace's heavy 5-0 defeat to Arsenal
- Hodgson's precarious position affecting team morale
- Home advantage factor for Palace at Selhurst Park
Market Implications
- Newcastle likely to be favored by bookmakers
- Under/Over goals markets should consider Palace's defensive issues
- Both teams to score markets influenced by Palace's attacking limitations
Prediction
Based on the comprehensive analysis, Newcastle United are strongly favored to win this match. Crystal Palace's combination of poor form, defensive issues, and managerial uncertainty make them vulnerable. I predict:
- Newcastle Win: 60% probability
- Draw: 25% probability
- Crystal Palace Win: 15% probability
Confidence level is 7/10 due to the significant time gap until the match and potential changes in team dynamics.
match_result
newcastle_win:60.0%
draw:25.0%
palace_win:15.0%
Confidence: 7/10
Reasoning Score: 8/10
Sources
- https://www.theguardian.com/football/2024/jan/23/roy-hodgson-on-thin-ice-after-discussions-with-palace-chairman
- https://www.theguardian.com/football/live/2024/jan/20/arsenal-v-crystal-palace-premier-league-live
- https://fbref.com/en/comps/9/2022-2023/2022-2023-Premier-League-Stats
- https://www.theguardian.com/football/2023/dec/21/crystal-palace-brighton-premier-league-match-report