← Back to Events

"Moana 2" Rotten Tomatoes score?

This is a market on the predicted Rotten Tomatoes score for the movie "Moana 2".

Event Details

Total Volume: $1.6M
24h Volume: $63.4K
Total Liquidity: $130.7K
Markets: 7
Event Ends: 12/2/2024

Event Analysis

Summary

Moana 2, set for theatrical release on November 27, 2024, is Disney's highly anticipated sequel to the successful 2016 animated film. Early indicators are mixed - while box office previews have been strong with $13.8M (a record for Disney Animation), initial critical reception has been moderate with a current Rotten Tomatoes score around 67%. The film brings back the original voice cast and features new music from Grammy winners, but faces the typical challenges of animated sequels in meeting high expectations. Key factors include the strength of the original film's reception (95% on RT), Disney Animation's track record with sequels, and early audience response.

Analysis

Background

  • Original Moana (2016) was a critical and commercial success with 95% RT score
  • Moana 2 began as a TV series but was upgraded to theatrical release
  • Film features returning cast including Auli'i Cravalho and new musical talent

Current Reception Analysis

  • Initial RT score ~67% from early reviews
  • Strong box office previews ($13.8M) indicate audience interest
  • Mixed critical response but positive audience engagement

Key Factors to Watch

  • Audience vs Critic Split

    • Family films often see divergence between critic and audience scores
    • Strong box office could drive more positive audience reviews
    • Holiday timing typically favorable for family films
  • Sequel Expectations

    • Must balance nostalgia with new story elements
    • Previous Disney animated sequels have seen mixed reception
    • High bar set by original film's 95% score
  • Creative Elements

    • New musical team could impact reception
    • Expanded storyline with new characters
    • Focus on cultural representation continues

Recent Developments

  • Record-breaking trailer views indicate strong interest
  • Initial preview screenings exceeded expectations
  • Marketing campaign emphasizing both familiar elements and new adventure

Prediction

Based on early reception and typical patterns for Disney animated sequels, Moana 2 is likely to maintain a Rotten Tomatoes score between 65-75%. While audience enthusiasm may drive some upward movement, the current 67% score appears relatively stable. The final score is likely to settle slightly higher than current levels but below the original's 95%.

moana_2_rotten_tomatoes_score

under_60:15.0%
60-69:30.0%
70-79:35.0%
80-89:15.0%
90-100:5.0%
Confidence: 7/10
Reasoning Score: 8/10

Market Options

Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 80-84?

Yes
0.2%
No
99.8%
Liquidity: $130.7K
Trade →

Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of less than 60?

Yes
0.3%
No
99.8%
Liquidity: $130.7K
Trade →

Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 70-74?

Yes
1.1%
No
99.0%
Liquidity: $130.7K
Trade →

Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 90 or more?

Yes
0.1%
No
100.0%
Liquidity: $130.7K
Trade →

Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 75-79?

Yes
0.1%
No
99.9%
Liquidity: $130.7K
Trade →

Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 85-89?

Yes
0.1%
No
100.0%
Liquidity: $130.7K
Trade →

Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 60-69?

Yes
97.5%
No
2.5%
Liquidity: $130.7K
Trade →