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NBA Coach of the Year

This is a market on predicting the winner of the NBA Coach of the Year award for the current season.

Event Details

Total Volume: $3.1K
24h Volume: $25
Total Liquidity: $2.8K
Markets: 12
Event Ends: 4/28/2025

Event Analysis

Summary

The 2023-24 NBA Coach of the Year race has several strong contenders, with Mark Daigneault of the Oklahoma City Thunder emerging as the current favorite. The Thunder's exceptional performance (37-17 record) and significant improvement from last season has positioned Daigneault as the frontrunner, though Chris Finch (Minnesota Timberwolves) and J.B. Bickerstaff (Cleveland Cavaliers) remain strong contenders. The award typically favors coaches whose teams significantly exceed preseason expectations or demonstrate remarkable improvement. This year's race is particularly competitive due to several teams outperforming expectations, with both conference leaders having coaches making compelling cases for the award.

Analysis

Current Landscape

Leading Candidates

  1. Mark Daigneault (Thunder)
  • Team sitting second in Western Conference
  • Significant improvement from previous season
  • Top 5 in both offensive and defensive ratings
  • Young roster exceeding expectations
  1. Chris Finch (Timberwolves)
  • Leading Western Conference
  • Best defensive rating in league
  • Team on pace for best record in 20 years
  1. J.B. Bickerstaff (Cavaliers)
  • Strong turnaround in second half
  • Team on 55-win pace
  • Climbing to second in Eastern Conference

Key Factors to Watch

Team Performance

  • Final regular season standings
  • Consistency through remaining games
  • Performance against top teams

Narrative Elements

  • Preseason expectations vs. actual performance
  • Player development success
  • Strategic adaptations

Historical Precedents

  • Award typically goes to coaches of top-3 seeded teams
  • Significant improvement from previous season is heavily weighted
  • Innovation and adaptation are valued

Recent Developments

  • Thunder's continued strong performance strengthens Daigneault's case
  • Cavaliers' surge under Bickerstaff gaining attention
  • Timberwolves maintaining top defensive rating

Prediction

Mark Daigneault is most likely to win Coach of the Year (45% probability), followed by Chris Finch (25%) and J.B. Bickerstaff (15%). Other candidates combine for the remaining 15% probability. This prediction carries a confidence level of 8/10 given the clear separation of leading candidates and strong supporting metrics.

NBA_Coach_of_Year_2024

Mark_Daigneault:45.0%
Chris_Finch:25.0%
JB_Bickerstaff:15.0%
Other:15.0%
Confidence: 8/10
Reasoning Score: 9/10

Market Options

Will Kenny Atkinson win NBA Coach of the Year?

Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Liquidity: $2.8K
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Will Erik Spoelstra win NBA Coach of the Year?

Yes
4.5%
No
95.5%
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Will Ime Udoka win NBA Coach of the Year?

Yes
14.0%
No
86.0%
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Will Joe Mazzulla win NBA coach of the Year?

Yes
13.5%
No
86.5%
Liquidity: $2.8K
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Will Jamahl Mosley win NBA Coach of the Year?

Yes
13.0%
No
87.0%
Liquidity: $2.8K
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Will Mark Daigneault win NBA Coach of the Year?

Yes
1.6%
No
98.5%
Liquidity: $2.8K
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Will Rick Carlisle win NBA Coach of the Year?

Yes
9.3%
No
90.7%
Liquidity: $2.8K
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Will Mike Brown win NBA Coach of the Year?

Yes
15.0%
No
85.0%
Liquidity: $2.8K
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Will Mike Budenholzer win NBA Coach of the Year?

Yes
13.0%
No
87.0%
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Will Steve Kerr win NBA Coach of the Year?

Yes
17.3%
No
82.7%
Liquidity: $2.8K
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Will Tyronn Lue win NBA Coach of the Year?

Yes
12.5%
No
87.5%
Liquidity: $2.8K
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Will JJ Redick win NBA Coach of the Year?

Yes
11.5%
No
88.5%
Liquidity: $2.8K
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