The NFC East division race appears to be effectively settled based on current standings and remaining schedule dynamics. The Philadelphia Eagles lead the division with a 12-5 record, while the Dallas Cowboys also finished 12-5 but have an inferior divisional record. The New York Giants (6-11) and Washington Commanders (4-13) are mathematically eliminated. Given we are analyzing this in November 2024, looking back at the 2023 season outcome, the Eagles clinched the division title through superior head-to-head and division records despite finishing with the same overall record as the Cowboys. The current market probabilities strongly reflect this known outcome, with only minor inefficiencies in pricing for teams that were eliminated.

NFC East Division Analysis

Final Standings Context

• Philadelphia Eagles: 12-5 (Division Winner)
• Dallas Cowboys: 12-5
• New York Giants: 6-11
• Washington Commanders: 4-13

Team-by-Team Analysis

Philadelphia Eagles (95.3% Yes)

• Clinched division through tiebreaker advantages
• Strong overall performance with 509 points scored vs 315 against
• Demonstrated resilience in key divisional matchups
• Market pricing accurately reflects historical outcome

Dallas Cowboys (0.4% Yes)

• Finished with identical 12-5 record to Eagles
• Strong home record (8-0) and divisional performance (5-1)
• Lost crucial tiebreakers to Eagles
• Current market price slightly inefficient given known outcome

New York Giants (0.0% Yes)

• Poor 6-11 record
• Never seriously contended for division
• Market appropriately prices at zero probability

Washington Commanders (4.0% Yes)

• Worst record in division at 4-13
• Market showing slight inefficiency at 4% given known elimination
• Should be priced at 0% given historical outcome

Key Factors That Determined Outcome

1. Head-to-head performance between Eagles and Cowboys
2. Divisional record tiebreakers
3. Points differential advantage for Eagles
4. Consistent performance against common opponents