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What will Trump say during inauguration speech?
This is a market group over what terms Donald J. Trump will mention during his inauguration speech currently scheduled for January 20, 2025.
Event Details
Total Volume: $414.1K
24h Volume: $8.9K
Total Liquidity: $92.0K
Markets: 11
Event Ends: 1/20/2025
Event Analysis
Summary
Donald Trump's potential inauguration speech on January 20, 2025, represents a crucial moment that will set the tone for his second presidency. Based on analysis of his recent speeches, campaign rhetoric, and policy positions, we can make informed predictions about the content and specific phrases likely to appear in this address.
The search results reveal clear patterns in Trump's messaging, focusing heavily on themes of immigration, economic recovery, national security, and America First policies. His recent CPAC speech and campaign platform documents provide strong indicators of his preferred terminology and rhetorical style, while his increasing focus on retribution and confrontational politics suggests certain terms may be deliberately avoided in a formal inauguration setting.
Analysis
Economic and Political Context
- Trump would be taking office amid concerns about inflation, energy costs, and international tensions
- His campaign messaging emphasizes economic recovery and America First policies
- Recent speeches show increased focus on immigration and border security
Analysis by Market Category
High Probability Terms (>50%)
- "God" (4+ times)
- Historical precedent: Trump regularly references God in formal speeches
- Inauguration setting traditionally includes religious references
- Likely to appeal to evangelical base
- "Illegal immigrant/immigration"
- Central campaign theme
- Multiple recent speeches emphasize immigration
- Border security listed as top priority in campaign platform
Medium Probability Terms (25-50%)
- "Border" (5+ times)
- Strong focus in campaign messaging
- May be moderated for inauguration formality
- Recent speeches average 3-4 mentions
- "Kamala"
- Less likely in inaugural setting
- Trump typically focuses on Biden rather than Harris
- Would break from traditional inaugural tone
Low Probability Terms (<25%)
- "MAGA" (4+ times)
- Too informal for inauguration setting
- Historical inaugurals favor unity messaging
- Campaign slogan usually reduced in formal speeches
- Cryptocurrency Terms
- Not a campaign priority
- Absent from recent major speeches
- Too specific for broad inaugural themes
- "McDonald's"/"Doge"/"Drill baby drill"
- Too casual for inauguration setting
- No recent usage in formal speeches
- Would break traditional inaugural decorum
Key Factors to Watch
- Pre-Inauguration Events
- Legal proceedings outcomes
- International developments
- Economic conditions
- Speech Writing Team
- Level of formality chosen
- Balance between base and broader audience
- Influence of advisors
- Political Climate
- Level of partisan tension
- International situations
- Economic conditions
Prediction
Based on comprehensive analysis, I predict with high confidence that Trump will use "illegal immigrant/immigration" and "God" multiple times, with moderate usage of "border." Terms like "MAGA," cryptocurrency references, and casual phrases are highly unlikely in the formal inaugural setting. The speech will likely balance traditional inaugural gravitas with Trump's signature themes of immigration, security, and economic nationalism.
Will Trump say 'MAGA' 4+ times
Yes:10.0%
No:90.0%
Will Trump say 'McDonald's'
Yes:2.0%
No:98.0%
Will Trump say 'doge' or 'Dogecoin'
Yes:5.0%
No:95.0%
Will Trump say 'border' 5+ times
Yes:45.0%
No:55.0%
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin'
Yes:15.0%
No:85.0%
Will Trump say 'god' 4+ times
Yes:65.0%
No:35.0%
Will Trump say 'drill baby drill'
Yes:10.0%
No:90.0%
Will Trump say 'Kamala'
Yes:25.0%
No:75.0%
Will Trump say 'rig' or 'rigged'
Yes:10.0%
No:90.0%
Will Trump say 'illegal immigrant/immigration'
Yes:70.0%
No:30.0%
Will Trump say 'trans'
Yes:15.0%
No:85.0%
Confidence: 8/10
Reasoning Score: 9/10
Market Options
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?
Yes
15.5%
No
84.5%
Liquidity: $92.0K
Trade →Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?
Yes
14.5%
No
85.5%
Liquidity: $92.0K
Trade →Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
Yes
21.5%
No
78.5%
Liquidity: $92.0K
Trade →Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?
Yes
42.5%
No
57.5%
Liquidity: $92.0K
Trade →Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Liquidity: $92.0K
Trade →Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?
Yes
18.0%
No
82.0%
Liquidity: $92.0K
Trade →Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?
Yes
15.5%
No
84.5%
Liquidity: $92.0K
Trade →Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?
Yes
66.0%
No
34.0%
Liquidity: $92.0K
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