← Back to Events

Who will Jake Paul fight next?
This is a market on predicting Jake Paul's next opponent in his upcoming boxing match.
Event Details
Total Volume: $32.7K
24h Volume: $1.5K
Total Liquidity: $22.7K
Markets: 11
Event Ends: 6/30/2025
Event Analysis
Summary
Jake Paul's next boxing match has been officially announced and rescheduled - he will face Mike Tyson on November 15, 2024, at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The fight was originally planned for July 20 but was postponed due to Tyson experiencing an ulcer flare-up. This high-profile matchup will be streamed on Netflix and is being promoted as potentially one of the biggest boxing events in history.
The certainty of this matchup, backed by official announcements, contracts, and venue booking, makes this a relatively straightforward prediction market despite the unusual nature of the pairing between a 57-year-old boxing legend and a 27-year-old YouTuber-turned-boxer.
Analysis
Background
- Jake Paul (9-1, 6 KOs) has been actively pursuing high-profile boxing matches
- His last fight was a first-round TKO victory over Ryan Bourland in March 2024
- Mike Tyson (50-6, 44 KOs) last fought in an exhibition match against Roy Jones Jr. in 2020
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2024
- Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
- Format: Eight two-minute rounds
- Equipment: 14-ounce gloves
- Broadcasting: Available on Netflix (260M+ subscribers)
Key Factors
- Official Confirmation
- Fight has been formally announced
- Venue is booked
- Netflix streaming deal is in place
- Texas Department of Licensing and Regulations has approved
- Financial Investment
- Major venue secured
- Significant promotional efforts underway
- Netflix's first venture into combat sports
- Both Fighters Committed
- Tyson has made public statements about knocking out Paul
- Paul is actively promoting the fight
- Previous postponement handled professionally
Recent Developments
- Original July date postponed due to Tyson's health
- New date confirmed for November 15
- Both camps actively promoting the event
- Social media engagement metrics showing strong interest
Prediction
Based on the official announcements, contracts, and active promotion, there is an extremely high probability (95%) that Mike Tyson will be Jake Paul's next opponent on November 15, 2024. The remaining 5% accounts for extreme unforeseen circumstances like serious injury or regulatory issues that could prevent the fight from occurring.
Who will Jake Paul fight next?
Mike Tyson:95.0%
Any other opponent:5.0%
Confidence: 9/10
Reasoning Score: 9/10