The question of whether Donald Trump will appear on Saturday Night Live (SNL) before inauguration day centers on the complex relationship between the former president and the iconic comedy show. Based on extensive analysis of recent SNL episodes, Trump's public statements, and the show's current direction, there appears to be very low probability of Trump making an in-person appearance before January 19, 2024. The search results reveal that while Trump remains a frequent subject of SNL sketches through impersonations (notably by James Austin Johnson), his relationship with the show has deteriorated significantly since his previous hosting appearances in 2004 and 2015. Recent episodes have heavily featured Trump-themed content mocking his legal troubles and campaign activities, but there are no indicators of plans for an in-person appearance, and Trump has publicly criticized the show's declining ratings and quality on his Truth Social platform.

Analysis of Trump SNL Appearance Likelihood

Current SNL Landscape

• Season 49 has announced hosts through early 2024, including:
  • Jacob Elordi
  • Dakota Johnson
  • Ayo Edebiri (February 3)
• No gaps or special episodes announced that might accommodate Trump
• Show continues to feature Trump-related content through impersonations

Trump's Relationship with SNL

• Historical appearances:
  • Hosted in 2004 and 2015
  • Initially positive relationship
  • Relationship soured during presidency
• Recent developments:
  • Trump publicly criticized show's ratings
  • Called for show to be "put to rest"
  • Expressed particular disdain for Alec Baldwin's portrayal

Key Factors Affecting Likelihood

1. Legal Commitments

   • Multiple ongoing court cases
   • Time constraints due to campaign activities
   • Legal teams likely advising against comedy appearances

2. Political Strategy

   • Focus on campaign activities
   • Risk of uncontrolled narrative in live TV setting
   • Current polling position may reduce need for mainstream media exposure

3. SNL Production Considerations

   • Show's current critical stance toward Trump
   • Established host schedule through early 2024
   • Potential internal resistance to Trump appearance

Recent Developments

• SNL continues to feature Trump-focused cold opens
• James Austin Johnson's Trump impressions receiving significant attention
• No indication of any reconciliation between Trump and SNL production